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Midterms 2022: Current polls for the US midterm elections

Who Rules the Capitol? The answer to the question will come on November 0th in the midterms in the USA.  © Liu Jie/dpa

In the 2022 midterm elections, the United States will re-elect its Congress. Here you will find the most important surveys.

USA – On November 8, the midterms will take place in the USA . The members of the House of Representatives, around a third of the senators and numerous governors are newly elected.

For a long time it seemed as if there would be a red wave at the Midterms 2022. Because the Republicans looked like the clear winners in all polls until recently, with clear majorities predicted in both chambers of Congress . President Joe Biden and the Democrats seemed threatened with a clear defeat.

In the meantime the situation changed. It looked as if the Democrats could celebrate a partial success and at least hold the Senate . In the meantime, however, the tide has turned again in the Senate. The current surveys, which we present in our survey ticker, hardly allow a clear picture in the Senate at the moment.

The “FiveThirtyEight” portal recalculates the probabilities every day. So how will the midterms of 2022 end?

  • Senate : Republicans have a 55% chance of winning the Senate majority
  • House of Representatives : Republicans have an 85% chance of winning a majority in the House of Representatives
  • Source: FiveThirtyEight , as of 11/06/2022

Midterms 2022 in the USA: 35 seats in the Senate are up for election

35 Senate seats will be redistributed in the midterm elections. The resignation of Republican Jim Inhofe in Oklahoma adds a special election to the 34 regular elections. When it comes to the question of whether the Democrats or the Republicans will have the majority in the Senate, the results in ten states play a particularly important role . It can be assumed that the remaining states will remain in democratic or republican hands.

Midterms 2022: US midterm election schedule

meetingoccurrence
November 08, 2022US Midterms 2022
December 06, 2022Georgia: possible runoff
December 10, 2022Louisiana: possible runoff
January 03, 2023New US Congress convenes

According to the polls , Georgia, Nevada and Pennsylvania are the most hotly contested . Whoever wins two of those three states should also have control of the Senate. A 50-50 stalemate is still enough for the Democrats as Vice President  Kamala Harris  , in her role as Senate Speaker, has the deciding vote in this case.

Midterm elections USA: The ten most exciting duels in the Senate

In Pennsylvania, Democratic candidate John Fetterman is still just ahead in the polls, but Republican Mehmet Oz has recently caught up in the polls. In Georgia, Democrat Raphael Warnock was long ahead of Republican opponent Herschel Walker, but Walker is now just ahead of the average in all polls. However, Warnock sees two current surveys from the New York Times and Siena College as well as from Marist College, both of which are particularly reliable. So it remains exciting. In Nevada, Republican candidate Adam Laxalt has gradually increased his lead over Catherine Cortez Masto in recent weeks.

Should the Democrats lose their majority in the Senate, the Republicans are likely to make it almost impossible for President Joe Biden to govern.

Polls for the Senate – Georgia

Raphael Warnock (D)Herschel Walker (R)
49.0%49.5%

Polls for the Senate – Nevada

Catherine Cortez Masto (D)Adam Laxalt (R)
44.0%50.0%

Polls for the Senate – Pennsylvania

John Fetterman (D)Mehmet Oz (R)
49.2%48.8%
https://embed.dpa-electionslive.com/customers/midterm-usa2022/aws/dpa-shop/html/index.html?competitionId=pw_us&language=de&customer=ippen-digital-gmbh&standalone=congress&electionType=senate&customer=ippen-digital-gmbh#amp=1

Other states deciding the outcome of the Senate election at Midterms 2022 are Arizona, Colorado, Florida, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio and Wisconsin. Here, based on the surveys, there could at least be some surprises. Republicans are particularly hoping for success in Arizona, where Trump candidate Blake Masters wants to overthrow former astronaut Mark Kelly. Democrats are hoping for a turnaround in Ohio and Wisconsin.

Polls for the Senate – Arizona

Mark Kelly (D)Blake Masters (R)
50.1%48.1%

Polls for the Senate – Colorado

Michael Bennett (D)Joe O’Dea (R)
52.5%44.4%

Polls for the Senate – Florida

Val Demings (D)Marco Rubio (R)
44.2%53.9%

Polls for the Senate – New Hampshire

Maggie Hassan (D)Donald Bolduc (R)
51.1%47.2%

Polls for the Senate – North Carolina

Cheri BeasleyTed Budd (R)
46.7%51.5%

Polls for the Senate – Ohio

Tim Ryan (D)JD Vance (R)
47.2%52.8%

Polls for the Senate – Wisconsin

Mandela Barnes (D)Ron Johnson (R)
47.0%50.0%

(Source: FiveThirtyEight )

Midterms 2022: Election to the House of Representatives

All 435 seats are up for election in the US House of Representatives election. Members of Parliament are elected by direct vote in their constituency for two years. Since the 2022 midterm election will be the first to use the 2020 United States Census seat allocation, all electoral districts have been rebalanced. The Democrats currently have a majority of 220 seats, the Republicans hold 212 seats, and three seats are vacant. All polls suggest Republicans will win a majority here.

https://embed.dpa-electionslive.com/customers/midterm-usa2022/aws/dpa-shop/html/index.html?competitionId=pw_us&language=de&customer=ippen-digital-gmbh&standalone=congress&electionType=house&customer=ippen-digital-gmbh#amp=1

Midterms 2022: gubernatorial election

In the midterm elections in the USA, the governor posts will also be filled in 36 states. There are also two well-known politicians at the start who are striving for higher things in the future. Ron DeSantis, whom many already see as Donald Trump’s successor , is unlikely to be victorious in Florida. In California, the Democratic hopeful Gavin Newsome remains unchallenged. In Arizona, meanwhile, a head-to-head race between Trump candidate Kari Lake and Democrat Katie Hobbs is looming.

Gubernatorial Elections – Arizona

Katie Hobbs (D)Kari Lake (R)
49.2%50.8%

Gubernatorial Election – Florida

Charlie Grist (D)Ron DeSantis (R)
43.1%54.9%

Gubernatorial Elections – California

Gavin Newsom (D)Brian Dahle (R)
60.6%39.4%

(Source: FiveThirtyEight )

However, the decision on majorities in Congress will not be made until election day. You can find out how this works and when the results will be published in our timetable . The events on election night can be seen live on TV and in the live stream . (cs)

Source: https://www.fr.de/politik/umfragen-zwischenwahlen-midterms-2022-usa-alle-aktuellen-91845834.html

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By Chala Dandessa

I am freelancer and Editor at ETHIOPIANS TODAY website. If you have any comment use caalaadd2@gmail.com as email contact. Additionally you can contact us through the contact page of www.ethiopianstoday.com. Twitter https://www.twitter.com/caalaadd Instagram: https://www.intagram.com/caalaadd Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/caalaaddofficial

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